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Get Em On, Get Em Over, Get Em In

The Astros offense, as potent and historic as they’ve been, has had a problem lately. That problem isn’t getting runners on base, it’s bringing them around to score. 

Let’s compare the Team stats from July & August:

July: 16-8, ERA: 3.85, OPS .726

August: 14-13, ERA: 3.55, OPS .762

How can a team pitch and hit better, and still have a worse record in the month? Well, timing is everything. 

The Astros Team OPS W/ RISP month by month for 2021

March/April… .727

May………… .839

June……….. .871

July………… .956

August……. .678

For example, in the last 2 games against Seattle, the Astros had 15 Hits, 4 Walks, and 1 HBP. That’s 20 men reaching base, and 0 runs to show for it. 

To put that into perspective, on August 21st, the Astros beat Seattle. They had 15 Hits and 3 Walks in that game and scored 15 Runs. 

Baseball is always going to “baseball”, and there is something to be said for guys having consistent roles. Teams, just like players, will go through slumps and ups and downs. That being said, I think it’s time to shake it up a bit. 

Below will be the Astros Starters OBP & OPS W/ RISP. I’m proposing a bit of a “Moneyball” Batting Order, but it’s the same philosophy that’s been in baseball forever…

Get em on, get em over, get em in

Stats:

Altuve…….. OBP .346 – OPS (W/ RISP) 1.004

Brantley….. OBP .371 – OPS (W/ RISP) .754

Bregman…. OBP .360 – OPS (W/ RISP) .863

Alvarez…… OBP .344 – OPS (W/ RISP) .964

Correa……. OBP .371 – OPS (W/ RISP) .757

Gurriel……. OBP .382 – OPS (W/ RISP) .805

Tucker……. OBP .335 – OPS (W/ RISP) .819

Diaz………. OBP .333 – OPS (W/ RISP) .954

Chas……… OBP .319 – OPS (W/ RISP) .983

Meyers…… OBP .333 – OPS (W/ RISP) .626

Maldonado.. OBP .282 – OPS (W/ RISP) .628

Order by OBP High-Low:

Gurriel……… .382

Brantley……. .371

Correa……… .371

Bregman…… .360

Altuve……… .346

Alvarez……. .344

Tucker….…. .335

Diaz……….. .333

Meyers……. .333

Chas…..….. .319

Maldonado.. .282

Order by OPS W/ RISP Low-High:

Meyers……. .626

Maldonado.. .628

Brantley…… .754

Correa…….. .757

Gurri………. .805

Tucker…….. .819

Bregm…….. .863

Diaz……….. .954

Alvarez……. .964

Chas………. .983

Altuve……… 1.004

Conclusion:

Altuve has an OPS W/ RISP of 1.004, yet he’s the leadoff hitter. I propose the Astros shake up the order by front-loading it with the high OBP guys, with high OPS W/ RISP guys following them in the middle of the order.

It might not fit the typical mold of how a 1-2-3 of an order normally looks, but in this version of the lineup you have three guys in a row with a .370+ OBP. Your likelihood of one or multiple of those guys being on base, and potentially in scoring position, for the sluggers that can hit them in, should potentially lead to more runs.

My Proposed Batting Order:

Brantley…… OBP .371 – OPS (W/ RISP) .754

Correa…….. OBP .371 – OPS (W/ RISP) .757

Gurriel…….. OBP .382 – OPS (W/ RISP) .805

Bregman….. OBP .360 – OPS (W/ RISP) .863

Alvarez……. OBP .344 – OPS (W/ RISP) .964

Altuve……… OBP .346 – OPS (W/ RISP) 1.004

Diaz……..… OBP .333 – OPS (W/ RISP) .954*

Tucker..…… OBP .335 – OPS (W/ RISP) .819

Chas………. OBP .319 – OPS (W/ RISP) .983*

Maldonado.. OBP .282 – OPS (W/ RISP) .628

Meyers……. OBP .333 – OPS (W/ RISP) .626*

*rotated non-everyday starters

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