After one race in the first round of the NASCAR playoffs, Kyle Larson is the driver who has locked himself into the first round following his win at the Cook Out Southern 500. Next up, NASCAR returns to Kansas for the second time this season as the playoff pressure increases. However, the playoff picture needs a breakdown before we preview the Hollywood Casino 400.
Playoff Picture Headed Into the Hollywood Casino 400
WHAT. A. BURNOUT.@KyleLarsonRacin celebrates his Southern 500 win in front of a sellout crowd at @TooToughToTame. #NASCAR pic.twitter.com/aL8OlJarjD
— NASCAR on NBC (@NASCARonNBC) September 4, 2023
As mentioned above, Kyle Larson locked himself into the second round with his win at Darlington. That means eleven spots remain up for grabs. Take a look at the current standings below.
- Kyle Larson – Locked In
- William Byron – 45 Points Above Cut Line
- Tyler Reddick – 30 Points Above Cut Line
- Chris Buescher – 27 Points Above Cut Line
- Denny Hamlin – 27 Points Above Cut Line
- Martin Truex Jr. – 25 Points Above Cut Line
- Kyle Busch – 20 Points Above Cut Line
- Brad Keselowski – 18 Points Above Cut Line
- Ryan Blaney – 16 Points Above Cut Line
- Ross Chastain – 13 Points Above Cut Line
- Joey Logano – 3 Points Above Cut Line
- Christopher Bell – 1 Point Above Cut Line
- Bubba Wallace – 1 Point Below Cut Line
- Kevin Harvick – 2 Points Below Cut Line
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr. – 4 Points Below Cut Line
- Michael McDowell – 19 Points Below Cut Line
With Kansas and Bristol left to trim down the field, it will be interesting to see which teams step up and which teams falter. I still think McDowell and Stenhouse Jr. represent the two drivers most likely to fall out of the playoffs. Meanwhile, Harvick showed some real speed at Darlington before being penalized late in the race from the lead for pitting under caution. If SHR can maintain that speed don’t be surprised to see Harvick near the front at both Kansas and Bristol. Bristol in particular is a circuit Harvick should factor in at.
Bubba Wallace sits just one point back of the cut line and dominated the fall Kansas race last year. I don’t know if he’ll have a repeat performance but I’d expect the #23 team to run near the front and give Wallace a real shot to score some points heading into the first round finale.
FOUR PLAYOFF DRIVERS INVOLVED!
— NASCAR on NBC (@NASCARonNBC) September 4, 2023
Kyle Busch, Denny Hamlin, Michael McDowell and Christopher Bell all were in it! #NASCAR pic.twitter.com/GLC2GgC1fu
I’m shifting my initial prediction a bit – I still expect Bubba to advance but I think the struggles and flat-out bad luck of Christopher Bell will prevent Bell from doing so. Additionally, I think Logano falls out of the top 12. With the pressure ramping up, this Sunday’s race should make for a doozy.
Entry List
The 1.5-mile circuits on the NASCAR schedule have provided some of the best racing of the year so far. The first race at Kansas this season saw Denny Hamlin claim victory after contact with Kyle Larson sent the #5 into the wall while the two raced for the lead. The two will likely be factors in the race once again.
"OH, HE TURNED HIM!"
— NASCAR on NBC (@NASCARonNBC) September 7, 2023
Last time at @KansasSpeedway, Denny Hamlin got into Kyle Larson on the last lap. #NASCAR pic.twitter.com/T8WuzgWeKa
As mentioned above, Bubba Wallace won the fall Kansas race last year. He finished top five in the Spring race and should run at the front once again. His 23XI teammate Tyler Reddick, who had a strong points night at Darlington, will slot in near the front as well.
However, my pick for Sunday’s race winner? William Byron. The #24 seems to be most consistent on speed and likely runs near the front again. With a win, Willy B joins his Hendrick teammate Kyle Larson in the second round.
Be sure to check out the weekend schedule below so you don’t miss any on-track action from Kansas Speedway.
Friday 09/08
Fast Track 150 (ARCA Menards Series) – 5:00 p.m. CT on FS1
Kansas Lottery 200 (NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series) – 8:00 p.m. CT on FS1
Saturday 09/09
NASCAR Xfinity Series Qualifying – 9:35 a.m. CT on USA
NASCAR Cup Series Qualifying – 11:45 a.m. CT on USA
Kansas Lottery 300 (NASCAR Xfinity Series) – 2:00 p.m. CT on NBC
Sunday 09/10
Hollywood Casino 400 (NASCAR Cup Series) – 2:00 p.m. CT on USA
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