YTD: 30-25-1
Week 9
We took an absolute beating last week. Looking to REBOUND!
Notre Dame vs Navy +13.5 O/U 52
First I would like to address that it’s a travesty that this game is being played at Metlife Stadium instead of in Annapolis. This has the makeup of an under. Navy is going to run the ball 97% of the time against a stout Irish defense. I don’t see the Midshipmen scoring much. On the other sideline, Notre Dame’s offense has been average all year. With a “shorter” game, the under has the best chance of hitting.
Under 52
Washington at Indiana -6.5 O/U 53.5
I have to admit I’ve lost money betting against the Hoosiers, but this is the week they go down. The Huskies are coming off a bye after an embarrassing loss to Iowa. Washington will be extremely motivated to get back on the field. The Hoosier’s explosive offense will be without former MAC player of the year Kurtis Rourke. After Indiana’s blowout win against Nebraska, you’d think this spread would be more than a touchdown. Jedd Fisch coming out of the bye against a hungover Hoosiers is the perfect combination to take Washington with the points.
Washington +6.5
Florida State at Miami -21 O/U 54.5
Indiana isn’t the only team that is due for a letdown. Miami has had more close calls to count in 2024. Florida State on the other hand has really taken their lumps, to put it lightly. This rivalry runs deep. The Seminoles know their season is over, but they would love nothing more than to derail Miami’s season. 21 is a lot of points, and I usually stay away from these types of games but Florida State will keep this somewhat close.
Florida State +21
BYU at UCF -1 O/U 55.5
This is the spread that makes no sense, and we must bet on the chaos. UCF is 3-4, granted with some close calls, but being favored in this game against the team that is a favorite to win the Big 12 looks odd. When a line looks too good to be true, you go against your brain. Get this now, because by the time this is published, the line will have moved to 2.5.
UCF -1
Illinois at Oregon -21.5 O/U 54.5
I know, I’m breaking my rule with big lines twice in one blog. This is a ranked Big Ten matchup with a 21.5 point spread. Illinois is playing their best ball, but just had their biggest win in years against Michigan. I expect a hangover game, and in addition to a west coast trip does not help the Illini. Look for the Oregon secondary to lock up the Illinois receivers, and once their offense gets moving the Ducks will roll.
Oregon -21.5
