Connect with us

Hi, what are you looking for?

Gambling

NFL Week 14: Money Making Manifesto

Had Lamar Jackson not gotten injured in the first half last week, we might have been looking at a sweep. But a winning week is a winning week and now we move on to an uglier Week 14 slate in the NFL.

BETS

Last week: + 0.34 units

Season record: -5.21 units

*lines via FanDuel unless stated otherwise

Bengals (-5.5) vs Browns — Risking 1.1 units to win 1

Joe Burrow is one of the hottest quarterbacks in the NFL right now. The Bengals are up to sixth in overall DVOA, per football outsiders, and are playing like a legitimate contender on both sides of the ball. Cleveland looks to be heading in a different direction. Deshaun Watson made his return last week and looked nothing like the guy we last saw several years ago. Watson’s game last week resembled sinkerballer Trevor Cahill more than it did Josh Allen, and that is a concern for the Browns. Burrow stays on fire here and pays back the Browns for the Halloween game.

Ravens (+1.5) @ Steelers — Risking 1.06 units to win 1

Tyler Huntley was up and down in relief last week, but recent history tells us that Huntley is a great backup who almost always gives this Ravens team a chance to win. The metrics still love Baltimore and the defense has been coming on strong lately. While Kenny Pickett and the Steelers have won 3 of 4, the offense struggled last week against a bad Falcons defense. Diontae Johnson might also miss this game, weakening a thin WR group in Pittsburgh. The Ravens win an ugly one on the road.

Dolphins OVER 13.5 1H Points @ Chargers — Risking 1.28 units to win 1

This dreadful Chargers defense is only getting worse. A group already without Joey Bosa, J.C. Jackson, and Austin Johnson, could potentially be without Derwin James, Bryce Callahan, and Sebastian Joseph-Day against the Dolphins on Sunday night football. Joseph-Day is the last capable run defender that the Chargers had left. James and Callahan are easily the two most important players in the LA secondary. This Dolphins offense is not the team in which you want inexperienced defensive backs on the field and that is where this is headed. Truthfully, I like this play regardless of who attempts to play for LA. Tua and Dolphins will come out the gate fast as they have all year.

Patriots (-1.5) @ Cardinals — Risking 1.08 units to win 1

For some strange reason I feel like Bill Belichick may take advantage of the extra time to prepare more than Kliff and Kyler. Coaching matchups don’t get more lopsided than this one, and the Patriots have much more on the line in this game. The Pats’ offense is at the point where it can at least move the ball against bad teams. Mac Jones puts up enough points while Belichick puts Kliff in a blender on the other side of the ball.

Week 14 PrizePicks

Last week: (4-1)

Season record: (34-31) 52%

Derrick Henry MORE than 82.5 rushing yards

This number is much higher on other sites and the matchup is ideal against Jacksonville. The Titans are a home favorite and will be dying to feed Henry 30 carries after a few ugly games from this offense.

Travis Etienne LESS than 15.5 fantasy points

The Titans are the number one defense in the NFL against the run, making this a bad matchup for Etienne. The Jaguars will surely choose to attack Tennessee through the air, and while you may think Etienne is involved in the passing game, he actually has not been. Most of Etienne’s scoring comes on the ground and I don’t see him finding success there this week.

D’Onta Foreman MORE than 55.5 rushing yards

Foreman is dealing with a foot issue making this a tad scary, but if he is able to go, this is a smash spot. When the Panthers hang around in a game Foreman gets 20+ carries and is efficient with them. The Seahawks have been brutally bad against the run in recent weeks and Carolina will look to capitalize on that with Foreman.

Austin Ekeler LESS than 46.5 rushing yards

The Chargers got RB Joshua Kelley back last week and immediately gave him 7 carriers compared to 10 for Ekeler. Kelley was more efficient with his carries and I would bet Kelley may even get more carries than Ekeler in this game. On top of that, the Dolphins are going to score points and force the Chargers to keep up, and no offense throws more and runs less than the Chargers.

Amon-Ra St. Brown MORE than 80.5 receiving yards

ARSB has been money in the bank this year and now faces the Vikings who have been getting torched by wideouts all year. Garrett Wilson and Corey Davis flew past this number against Minnesota last week and ARSB continues to be a target machine. I love this ARSB prop once again.

NFL Week 14 DFS Plays

Every week I will list my favorite DraftKings plays at each position in each price tier. These are strong tournament plays in my eyes and the bolded players are the guys I also like for cash games (50/50s and double ups).

QB

Josh Allen ($8,300)

Joe Burrow ($7,000)

Kirk Cousins ($6,100)

Jared Goff ($5,600)

Tyler Huntley ($5,500)

Sam Darnold ($5,200)

RB

Christian McCaffrey ($8,500)

Derrick Henry ($7,900)

Dalvin Cook ($7,300)

D’Andre Swift ($5,800)

Isiah Pacheco ($5,700)

Rachaad White ($5,500) *If Fournette is out

D’Onta Foreman ($5,400)

James Cook ($4,600)

WR

Justin Jefferson ($9,000)

Ja’Marr Chase ($7,900)

Amon-Ra St. Brown ($7,800)

Christian Kirk ($6,600)

Garrett Wilson ($5,900)

DJ Moore ($5,500)

Isaiah McKenzie ($4,200)

DJ Chark Jr. ($4,300)

TE

Mark Andrews ($6,500)

T.J. Hockenson ($5,100)

Greg Dulcich ($3,400)

Daniel Bellinger ($3,300)

Chig Okonkwo ($2,700)

Good luck with your NFL Week 14 picks! Play responsibly and be sure to check out all the great NFL content at Apollo and enjoy the week. Follow @ApolloTexans and @AaronLittleOB on Twitter for more.

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Latest

F1 and NASCAR

Jay Arnold talks about the suspension of Chase Elliott after the Coca-Cola 600 and previews the Enjoy Illinois 300 from Madison, Illinois.

Sticky Post

After four successful and critically acclaimed seasons, HBO’s “Barry” has wrapped with what is surely one of the most interesting change in career trajectories....

Sticky Post

The Arizona Cardinals have released wide receiver Deandre Hopkins after months of strong trade rumors. Since arriving in the desert, Hopkins has flashed his...

F1 and NASCAR

Jay Arnold sets the stage for the 2023 Coca-Cola 600 - NASCAR's longest race of the season. The series' best take on 1.5-mile Charlotte.

You May Also Like

Movies & Pop Culture

Let me say right off the top, I hated this movie. Not because it was poorly made but because it is poorly conceived. The...

Rockets

Coming into the 2022 NBA Trade Deadline, the Houston Rockets were expected to be key players. The Rockets had an abundance of assets and...

Movies & Pop Culture

“Then the LORD commanded the fish, and it vomited Jonah up onto the dry land.” Jonah 2:10 If you’ve seen the movie NOPE, the...

Movies & Pop Culture

Fall is here again, and that means so is Oscar Bait szn. My favorite time on the movie release calendar. While the Summer months...